He is throwing the entire Russian army into the battle and ignoring all the rules of war, not least by indiscriminately bombing the civilian population. He has decided to punish Ukraine for standing up to him, and he appears to be acting without any constraint. Yet rather than blaming himself, Putin seems to have gone literally mad. Ingrained corruption in the awarding of defense contracts also has played an important role in its underperformance. But the Russian army performed poorly when it was ordered to attack its Ukrainian brothers. Many Ukrainians fought valiantly during the Euromaidan protests in 2014. But in the second part, it was Putin who was misled. The first part of his argument is not without some historical justification, given that Kyiv was the original seat of the Russian Orthodox Church. In July 2021, Putin published a long essay arguing that Russians and Ukrainians are really one people, and that the Ukrainians have been misled by neo-Nazi agitators. Ukrainians have put up an incredibly brave resistance against seemingly overwhelming odds. He expected Russian-speaking Ukrainians to welcome Russian soldiers with open arms, but they turned out to be no different from the Ukrainian-speaking population. He certainly misjudged the situation in Ukraine. Having developed an idée fixe, he appears to have lost touch with reality. Putin used to be a canny KGB operator, but he seems to have changed recently. He reduced the capital of Chechnya, Grozny, to rubble, just as he is currently threatening to do to the capital of Ukraine, Kyiv.Įnjoy unlimited access to the ideas and opinions of the world’s leading thinkers, including long reads, book reviews, topical collections, short-form analysis and predictions, and exclusive interviews every new issue of the PS Quarterly magazine (print and digital) the complete PS archive and more. I don’t know Putin personally, but I have watched his rise very closely, aware of his ruthlessness. I also visited China in 1984, where I was the first foreigner allowed to set up a foundation (which I closed in 1989, just before the Tiananmen Square massacre). In Ukraine, I established a foundation even before it became an independent country. I set up a foundation in Russia, and then did the same in each of the successor states. When Mikhail Gorbachev came to power in 1985, the disintegration had already begun. Later, at the beginning of the 1980s, I embarked on what I call my political philanthropy.įirst, I set up a foundation in my native Hungary, and then I actively participated in the disintegration of the Soviet empire. I learned that they would share their last piece of bread with you if you appealed to them. That is the direct opposite of a democratic society, and it is a vision that distorts the Russian “soul,” which is emotional to the point of sentimentality.Īs a child, I had many encounters with Russian soldiers when they occupied Hungary in 1945. He seems to believe that the Russian people need a Czar whom they can follow blindly. But his concept of Russia’s role in the world is warped. Approaching the age of 70, Putin feels that if he is going to make his mark on Russian history, it is now or never. Having obtained Xi’s backing, Putin set about realizing his life’s dream with incredible brutality. Having concentrated all power in his own hands, Xi has carefully scripted the scenario by which he will be elevated to the level of Mao Zedong and Deng Xiaoping. He must be very confident that his confirmation as China’s ruler for life later this year will be a mere formality. I was surprised that Xi appeared to have given Putin carte blanche to invade and wage war against Ukraine.
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